The EFG Swiss Open Gstaad has resulted in the strongest possible final, with the two top seeds going head-to-head on Sunday. Roland Garros finalist Casper Ruud takes on former Wimbledon finalist Matteo Berrettini. As always, here at LWOT we will anticipate and predict every game. Who do you think will take the title?
ATP Gstaad Final Prediction
Casper Ruud vs Matteo Berrettini
Head to head: Ruud 2-2 Berrettini
Defending champion Ruud is aiming for his ninth ATP title at just 23, although his recent runs at Miami and Roland Garros have been proof of his improvement this season. After successfully defending his Geneva title in May, the Norwegian is looking to confirm Switzerland as his happy place and win his fourth title in the country. Ruud, the top seed in Gstaad, entered the competition in the second round with a clear win over Jiri Lehecka. The quarter-final clash with Jaume Munar was tougher for the 23-year-old as he had to save two set points in the second but came through in two tie-breaks. Ruud then dismantled veteran Albert Ramos-Vinolas, allowing the Spaniard just two games in the semifinals.
Berrettini is out of the top 10 despite a strong season due to a lack of Wimbledon points, although the Italian was unable to compete anyway due to Covid. Gstaad was his first tournament in over a month and the 2018 champions struggled en route to the final. Berrettini also started in the second round, beating the experienced Richard Gasquet in straight sets. However, the 26-year-old almost went out in the quarterfinals when he lost the first set 6-3 to Pedro Martinez. The Spaniard also held a 5-1 lead in the tiebreak of the second set but Berrettini won six straight points to win the set. The world No. 15 has been mostly dominant since then, beating Martinez 6-1 in the third and dropping just five points to Dominic Thiem.
This is an intriguing duel that could very well be a Slam semi-final in terms of the quality of the players. Their previous encounters have been interesting, with Ruud winning two of his three encounters on clay, although Berrettini topped their last encounter in Madrid last year. It’s tough to call, but I see Ruud’s run as more compelling and he should be able to put some holes in Berrettini’s game in the final.
Prognosis: Ruud in the 2nd
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