The Toronto WTA tennis tournament got off to an incredible start and the action continues with more exciting matches on Tuesday.
I found betting value in two duels on Tuesday, including Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Claire Liu.
I give my best bets and full breakdowns below.
Note: Game times are subject to change. Read here for tips on watching tennis matches.
Sara Sorribes Tormo (-138) vs. Claire Liu (+116)
11 a.m. ET
Sorribes Tormo has not played since reaching the semi-finals on clay in Palermo fall to Irina Begu.
Sorribes Tormo won’t be disappointed to return to hard as she is 118-102 on hard in her career. That includes a 33-19 record since early 2021 on hard, though she’s only 7-6 this year.
Sorribes Tormo’s game is extremely consistent from the baseline and when she plays well she gets excellent depth on her groundstrokes. The Spaniard moves well and has an excellent anticipation of where her opponents are going next.
While Sorribes Tormo can effectively manipulate her top-spin forehand on court, her variety – particularly the backhand slice – is critical to her success. However, there are times when opponents can knock Sorribes Tormo off the pitch.
After she found herself down a set against world No. 521 Victoria Mboko in her previous match, Liu qualified well for Toronto. liu defeated an overwhelmed Ellen Perez 6-3, 6-0 in the final qualifying round.
Liu won 67% of her serve points and saved all seven break points on her serve. The American also won 55% of her return points and broke serve four times in seven return games.
Liu is 96-76 on hard courts as a professionalalthough she’s only 10-8 this season.
Liu plays from the baseline with controlled aggression, taking control of rallies and ending short balls effectively. However, Liu’s rally tolerance can be shaky at times.
It’s also worth noting that Liu’s leg was badly taped in San Jose last week and it’s unclear if she’s 100% healthy.
This is a good matchup for Sorribes Tormo. While hitting a big ball, Liu doesn’t have the power or consistency to successfully break through Sorribes Tormo’s defense.
Sorribes Tormo’s backhand slice stays low even on hard courts, and she can generate more power on her groundstrokes on the faster hard courts than on clay.
The Spaniard should be able to trick Liu into making mistakes while taking advantage of the opportunities given her, especially when Liu isn’t quite healthy.
With reference to Elo Sorribes Tormo’s Elo is 102 points better than Liu’s and her hard court Elo is 141.1 points better than the American.
Choose: Sorribes Tormo -1.5 games (-118 over fan duel)
Shuai Zhang (-179) vs. Cristina Bucsa (+145)
12:30 p.m. ET
Shuai Zhang will try to improve her 4-6, 2-6 Loss last week against the Madison Keys on the San Jose hard courts. While Zhang played well during short bursts in this match, she only gained 61% of her first serve points and 40% of her return points, and didn’t score a break point throughout the match.
Zhang is 406-260 on hard courts as one professionalincluding 11-9 this season.
Zhang usually has a well-placed, strong first serve that allows her to dictate points early on. Zhang plays with controlled aggression from the baseline – especially with her forehand – and she has excellent net play. However, she can be inconsistent with her groundstrokes.
Cristina Bucsa qualified for Toronto, take down Nuria Parrizas Diaz 6-4, 6-3 in the last qualifying round. Bucsa played a solid game on the return, winning 71% of Parrizas-Diaz’s second serve points. Bucsa broke four times in two sets.
Bucsa is 110-58 on her hard courts career, and 13-7 on the season. Bucsa doesn’t do anything special, but she puts a lot of balls back into play with decent depth. And when the Spaniard gets a chance, she’s competent enough to take advantage of it.
However, Bucsa’s serve is mediocre and she can get overwhelmed at times.
Zhang has the power to push Bucsa around and make the Spaniard uncomfortable. Zhang will dominate from the baseline and has the controlled aggression necessary to hit Bucsa.
Bucsa’s game should collapse under the pressure that Zhang’s aggression will put on her.
Also, Zhang’s overall Elo rating is 145.9 points better than Bucsa’s, and her hard court Elo is 119.2 points better than the Spaniard’s.
Choose: Zhang -2.5 games (-129 over PointsBet)