Carlo Alcaraz is enjoying a truly sensational 2022 season, with few flaws and lots of big results. With a few months to go this year but with several prestige dates planned, the Spaniard can really dream big and aim for a prestigious finish before the end of the year.
The Iberian, especially if he were to confirm this current performance of the last third, can seriously consider reaching the top of the ATP ranking. The data that allowed him to foresee? Without a doubt the declining points of the contenders for the No.
The situation of the current world No. 4 is good in terms of points lost: in 2021, the most important milestones in this part of the season were the Winston-Salem semifinals, which he will almost certainly not defend. the quarterfinals at the Us Open and the semifinals in Vienna.
Of course, the 2003 class wants to at least repeat these results and has already commented at the Masters 1000 in Montreal: “In Flushing Meadows I will try to push myself past the quarter-finals.” Doing very well in both Canada and Cincinnati would put Alcaraz in a very good position for the upcoming tournaments.
At the moment there is still room for a historic record, namely the youngest tennis player to become world number one, currently Lleyton Hewitt (20 years, 8 months and 23 days).
Carlos Alcaraz just before a sensational record
About 2800 is the gap between him and the Russian Daniil Medvedev, who absolutely cannot relax, because the bills to be discounted are numerous and quite heavy: he will lose 360 points in Cincinnati, defending the US Open title in 2000, but also the Paris-Bercy final (600) and the final at the Nitto ATP Finals.
In short, the Muscovite native needs to repeat at least some of those key finishes to feel comfortable at the top and hopes for missteps from Alcaraz in particular. Not even Sascha Zverev, number 2, is doing very well.
The German is expected to defend the Cincinnati trophy, the US Open semifinals, the win in Vienna, the semifinals in Paris and success in the final. The Hamburger, especially if he does not recover from the injury, will lose several places in the table.
The only one who can stop Alcaraz from getting the number is his compatriot Rafael Nadal, who hasn’t played at all since the Rogers Cup and can only earn in the standings. If the Mallorcan played consistently and got his usual results, he would really be destined to take the throne again.