We head into round two on day 4 of this loaded ATP 250 level event in Metz. Reigning champion Hubert Hurkacz is set to stand trial against Dominic Thiem and current world No. 4 Daniil Medvedev will get a chance to avenge his 2020 Australian Open loss to Stan Wawrinka. We at LWOT will be previewing these games as well as all other happenings around the Metz ground. But who is going ahead?
ATP Metz predictions for Day 4
Hubert Hurkacz versus Dominic Thiem
Head to head: Hurkacz 2: 0 Thiem
Hubert Hurkacz is back in Metz to defend his 2021 title. Seed No. 2 gets a very tough opening tie against former world No. 3 Dominic Thiem. Thiem defeated Richard Gasquet 6-3, 7-6 (3) in an entertaining first-round match. The Austrian is on a run to the Rennes Challenger final and has won five of his last six games. After losing his first seven games while returning from wrist surgery in late March, Thiem has amassed a 15-7 record, mostly competing at Tour level.
Apart from that, Thiem certainly not back to play at his Grand Slam winning level. Hurkacz is more than a step ahead of the 29-year-old in his current form. The fast indoor courts Metz provides help the Pole score points quickly and play the offensive style he loves. I can see Hurkacz coming out on top in straight sets.
Prognosis: Hurkacz in the 2
Holger Rune vs. Benjamin Bonzi
Head to Head: first meeting
Holger Rune and Benjamin Bonzi are at stake for the first time with a place in the Metz quarter-finals. Bonzi fought past his compatriot Ugo Humbert in a three-set, round-one fight. He would like to continue this momentum in his home country in a career year for the 26-year-old.
As the No. 4 seed, Rune received a bye into the second round. Like all 19-year-olds (except Carlos Alcaraz I suppose) Rune has had some ups and downs this season. He’s 3-10 since his run to the Roland Garros quarter-finals and is looking to regain his form to wrap up the 2022 season.
I expect these two to deliver a quality three-set fight in the final game of the night in Metz. I’m excited to see how Rune will handle what is sure to be a rowdy and Bonzi-friendly crowd. The young Dane has struggled with loud crowds in the past. Until he proves otherwise, I think that will be his end Thursday night.
Prognosis: Bonzi in the 3
Daniil Medvedev vs Stan Vawrinka
Head-to-head: Medvedev 2-1 Vawrinka
Daniil Medvedev and Stan Wawrinka will go head-to-head in Metz in the second round in an incredibly star-studded match. Medvedev set a 10-3 hard court record in the summer. A good grade for sure, but it wasn’t good enough to keep his number one spot. The current world No. 4 is in the hunt for his second title of the season. On the other side of Medvedev’s net will be former world No. 3 Stan Wawrinka. Wawrinka advanced through two qualifying rounds before defeating Joao Sousa in round one to set up this fight. This is the first time since November 2020 that the Swiss has won three games in a row.
The way Wawrinka has worked his way back to tour-level fitness and form is admirable. With that in mind, Daniil Medvedev is a different animal on indoor hard courts. I could see Wawrinka pushing the Russian in a set, but I expect Medvedev to come out of this match in straight strokes.
Prognosis: Medvedev in the 2nd
Main photo by Getty.